Amazed by John McCain’s primary win in South Carolina? Don’t be, says National Review contributor Michael Graham, because it means “almost nothing“:

Whether or not our nation’s screwy primary system is fixed in future election years, as many of us pray, the Palmetto State’s days of GOP glory are gone.

Florida is the new South Carolina.

Florida is the first level playing field of the 2008 GOP primaries. Iowa caucuses are like heaven (pardon the pun) to evangelicals; McCain was the unofficial “president of New Hampshire” and Mitt was a Michigan home boy.

South Carolina could have been a bellwether state yet again, but McCain simply has too much history there, and the conservative majority is far too divided. Florida will be the Rorschach Test of Republicans this year. Will it be a left-leaning mod like McCain or Giuliani? Or a GOP traditionalist like Thompson, Romney, or (sort of) Huckabee?

South Carolina won’t tell you. After an unbroken run of predicting winners, South Carolina in 2008 won’t tell us anything at all.

Graham says McCain may ultimately emerge as the front-runner, but it’s not going to happen in South Carolina where he “clearly doesn’t represent a majority of South Carolina Republicans, or Republicans anywhere, for that matter.”