1. I think many people are telling pollsters what they think they want them to say, not what they are actually going to do on election day.

2. Approximately 1 in 4 Americans no longer has a land line, making any polling done strictly by phone suspect.

3. It’s still way to early to be polling people. The vast majority of Americans still haven’t made up their mind.

4. The inaccuracy of polling has caused people to question the value of it.

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On average, Obama received three percentage points more support in the actual primaries and caucuses than he did during polling; however, he also had a strong ground campaign, and many polls do not question voters with cellphones, who are predominantly young.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect

For a good analysis of polls in the primary see FiveThirtyEight

http://tinyurl.com/6paw5x

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How were they set up as to all of their metrics?

Polls are only as good as their metrics going in. I think this year gives a more difficult task of setting up the metrics.

So there may be much less accuracy to the polls this year.

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http://tinyurl.com/5vgra5

Obama is ahead in Iowa by 15 in the latest poll, Sept. 2. In fact he went up by 10 points in the month of August.

Polls suggest Nevada, Virginia, Ohio, Colorado, and New Hampshire are still vitrually tied. If the rest of the country plays out as the polls predict Obama has 260 and McCain has 227. Of the remaining 51 EVs McCain will need all but eight, which he means he must will all but one of the remaining states. He can only lose Nevada or New Hampshire but not both.

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McCain was indeed born in Pamana: On a US military base (recognized under international law as the territory of the country whose military operated the base) – to two US citizens, one of whom was on active military duty at the time. There is no issue as to his citizenship and only the very vaguest of quibble as to how the “natural born citizen” language of the Constitution applies here (I’ve not yet see a case or law review commentary making even a reasonable case against McCain as a “natural born citizen” of the US).

The Obama citizenship and “natural born citizen” status is much more murky. I tend to think that it ought to go toward him being viewed as a “natural born citizen” but a somewhat reasonable argument could be made against it. He was apparently born in the US, but to a minor US citizen and a foriegn citizen, and their various travels before and after the birth could play a bit of havoc with the citizenship issues.

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and here are the fundamentalists: http://www.ifca.org

Personally, I’m more concerned about tree-spiking Earth-Firsters than either of them.

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I haven’t seen any of the video. What makes him a fundamentalist?

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