From stimulus to socialism
“Economic history is a long record of government policies that failed because they were designed with a bold disregard for the laws of economics,” said Ludwig von Mises. Echoing the primitive pre-classical attempts at market analysis of mercantilists (John Law) and physiocrats (François Quesnay), Keynesians fear that any dollar not spent immediately by the consumer leaks money away from the economic cycle.
The doomsday scenario goes like this: Someone’s thriftiness has a ripple effect of decreased spending by other participants. It results in lower production and employment figures. A recession decreases household incomes and total savings. A vicious cycle ultimately makes the whole pie smaller.
To offset the damage caused by this “paradox of thrift,” a resurrected crackpot theory advocates a spendthrift government priming the pump. After all, who is better qualified to act as a giant voracious consumer with unlimited credit and a scheme to pay back with IOUs? Government expenditures are expected to increase aggregate demand—creating jobs, putting money in the pockets of workers and entrepreneurs, boosting consumer and investor confidence.
There is just one tiny flaw with this fiscal multiplier theory: It does not work. Growth begins with thrift, with curbing carnal desires for immediate gratification and transformation of savings into human and physical capital. My children will enjoy higher living standards only if this generation works harder, saves more, and invests better. Government spending is unlikely to promote any of these activities.
Consumption is a function of production—to believe the opposite puts the cart in front of the horse. Aside from protecting private property rights, most government interference in the markets is not productive but redistributive (Social Security, Medicare) and obstructive (minimum wages, antitrust legislation). This means that Uncle Sam’s spending is not genuine demand.
Sooner or later someone has to pay the bill. And it will be paid, as usual, by taxing those who work and invest, or by something much more devious and disruptive—inflation. While the former paves the way for a future recession and may cost someone a re-election, the latter is much more than an economic evil. It is immoral as it takes money away from those who have prudently saved for their children. It also violates the Constitution—taxation without representation. Thus one thing becomes obvious: The government expansion is nothing but expropriation of private wealth, i.e., socialism.
(For those more easily persuaded by empirical studies than a “Gedankenspiel” analysis, read Friedman and Mieselman’s The Relative Stability of Monetary Velocity and the Investment Multiplier in the United States, and review the data behind the Barro/Wall Street Journal vs. Krugman/New York Times debate.)













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back to top6 Comments to “From stimulus to socialism”
“This means that Uncle Sam’s spending is not genuine demand.”
Bingo and creating false demand props up artificial economies for only a shortwhile. Either a new demand = to the former demand must arise or else the economy will stumble. Housing market is a prime example. Trying to recreate artificial demand only worsens the stumble in the longterm…even if anything is gained in the short term.
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Alex: Growth begins with thrift, with curbing carnal desires for immediate gratification and transformation of savings into human and physical capital.
Frank: For the very best explanation of why saving — not credit — is the lifeblood of any economy, read Peter Schiff’s brief article, “Credit Card Cancer.”
Then pass it along to five friends, and ask them to do the same.
Alex: The government expansion is nothing but expropriation of private wealth, i.e., socialism.
Frank: True enough, but a word of caution here is absolutely vital:
Do not lull yourself into believing that this is a “liberal” or “Democrat” or “Obama” problem.
This is a Federal Reserve problem. It goes back to 1913, not January 21, 2009 — and has been foisted upon us just as much by GOP presidents and legislatures as by the Democrats.
One last point: In February Ron Paul (R-TX) has introduced HR 1207 , the Federal Reserve Transparency Act of 2009. It would open all Fed operations to a GAO audit and require such an audit to be completed by the end of 2010. There has never been a public audit of the Federal Reserve since its inception in 1913. Considering that it has presided over the near-complete destruction of the United States dollar, it is long past time for such an accounting to the American people.
HR 1207 currently has 55 cosponsors and needs more. S 604 is the companion bill in the Senate.
Call your congressman and senators and insist that they support these bills. Anything less on their part can should be construed as nothing less than an intent to keep the Fed’s operation and activities from the disinfecting light of day.
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So please, do detail this interesing concept of “genuine” versus “not genuine” demand.
Say I go out and buy a boat. There is demand for one boat. The boat builder builds the boat and I pay him. In turn the boad builder spends that money to buy supplies from other companies, and his profits on things he will like to buy. And so on down the supply chain.
Now, my wife, as it turns out, works for the government. Specifically, for the Fish and Wildelife Service. And to do what’s necessary for her job, she needs a boat. Thanks to the stimulus, her office now has enough funds to go out and buy a boat. There is now demand for one boat….. etc. Exactly how do these stories differ?
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#3 Thomas–I’m no economist, but here goes: If the Fish and Wildlife Service spent money already in the budget, with current revenue, then maybe the demand is not artificial–the Service could afford the boat. But, in your example, the Service bought a boat it could not afford, with someone else’s money, taken against that someone’s will. That’s not genuine demand, and the consequence will be to artificially lower future demand when the poor someone has to pay more taxes to cover the boat that the Service could not afford, and won’t be able to buy his own boat.
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Shorter Tokarev: Anything Obama or another Democrat proposes is socialism.
This applies to every post he has written so far.
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“So please, do detail this interesing concept of “genuine” versus “not genuine” demand”
The difference is that, yes you can afford a boat, you pay the proper money, the builder is paid, so on down the line it goes, but not genuine demand is when your neighbor goes to buy a boat he cant afford. And if the government cant truly afford it, they are no better either.
Being the government does not exempt you from economic and financial realities.
Attempting to recreate demand in a sector where there is little demand currently, is the governments attempt at artificial non genuine demand. It’s a house of cards.
This is what most presidents have done over the decades. For instance, when the tech bubble burst…what was the next demand? Housing… It’s a consistant attempt by the government to force demand and the economy into a great picture mainly for their administrations purposes.
That process has reached complications with the over use of credit. Its much easier to create demand..when no one has to pay for it right away. This is why the administration (Obama’s) is attempting to restore the credit flow, so his administration and economy will look like he fixed it.
In actuality, he’s only extending the problem. What needs to be done is keeping the government out of manipulating the market and the economy. Housing bubbles and other non genuine demands will not form, and the market will experience long term, steady growth, as the genuine demands that rise and fall will always be replaced on par.
Government forcing the demand, doesnt work…especially when there is no demand. Freeing up the credit flow wont help, because banks arent going to lend to those who cant pay. And now, they are raising their fees/interest rates on those who can.
So your personal boat costs you more now. The supplies and materials cost the builder more now and so on down the line it goes. In the long run, your crippling the economy all the way around.
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