Kind of like Star Wars all over again
Remember SDI? There’s a good chance you don’t because as soon as Ronald Reagan announced his plan to develop a nuclear weapons defense laser shield, his opponents mocked the program, calling it “Star Wars” rather than using its proper name, “Strategic Defense Initiative,” or “SDI.” In effect, SDI broke the back of the Soviets and ushered in a new world order with the United States as the sole superpower. There’s another acronym you might want to get familiar with: SDR. Like SDI, SDR could become a catalyst that causes a major shift in world power—a shift away from the dollar as the world’s major reserve currency.
SDR stands for “Special Drawing Rights,” which is an international quasi-reserve currency created by the International Monetary Fund in 1969 for governments around the world to use in financing deficits. The IMF was created in 1947 following the Bretton Woods agreement made in 1944 among World War II allied nations. The agreement signed at the Mount Washington Hotel in Bretton Woods, N.H., created an international monetary system with the gold-backed U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency. Is your brain melting down already? OK, let’s slow down with the details. Suffice it to say that SDR is a form of international currency dealt out to international governments by the IMF comprised of a basket of currencies consisting of the dollar, the euro, the pound sterling, and the Japanese yen. Good enough for now?
“Wishing,” you’re saying, “why should I care?” Good question. Keep your eyes on the news as we witness the potential decline of the dollar and the world’s wealth. At the G-20 summit in London in March, the IMF decided to raise money by issuing a never-before-seen bond—a bond backed by, you guessed it, SDRs. Last week China fired a financial shot across the bow of the sinking ship U.S. Treasury. It announced that it wants to buy up to $50 billion in bonds backed by SDRs. Russia wants $10 billion and so does Brazil. Again, “Wishing, why should I care?” We Americans should care because China and other foreign nations have been financing our massive deficit spending by buying our U.S. Treasury bonds. They hold about $2 trillion in dollar-denominated reserves, including about $700 billion in U.S. Treasurys. Bottom line: China is getting tired of the spending shenanigans of our Congress and the financing frivolities of the Federal Reserve that could lead to a massive devaluation of the dollar.
Imagine this: China is holding $2 trillion in dollar-denominated reserves. We, of course, pay China interest and principal in dollars. Because the Federal Reserve is creating a massive amount of dollars out of thin air to jump-start the economy, bail out Wall Street and Detroit, etc., and because the United States has an $11 trillion deficit and another $100 trillion or so in unfunded liabilities, the U.S. dollar could drop in value significantly, generate inflation like we’ve never experienced . . . and depreciate the value of China’s holdings. What would you do if you were the governor of the central bank of China? Hmmm, maybe you would tell the United States to get its financial house in order. Maybe you would call for the end of the dollar as the world’s dominant reserve currency and suggest that the dollar be supplanted by SDRs. And maybe you would start to diversify your government bond purchases away from U.S. Treasury bonds and into alternatives like SDR bonds. China is doing all these things. Can you blame them? Please keep this move by China in perspective. They are not acting radically. They are trying to protect their financial holdings. If they move too dramatically from the dollar they stand to lose a lot of money quickly. China is moving, but moving cautiously.
By the way, it’s a bit ironic that China called for the end of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency on March 23—the same day that Ronald Reagan announced SDI in 1983.

















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back to top12 Comments to “Kind of like Star Wars all over again”
This thread is deja vu all over again. If it takes external pressure from Beijing to get DC to end the bipartisan spending spree, then I for one salute and shake hands with Mao’s legatees. The scenario you describe above sounds frighteningly accurate.
LBJ said once during Viet Nam “If I’ve lost Kronkite I’ve lost the nation”. Well as far as our currency’s standing goes, if we’ve lost the Chicomms then we’ve pretty much lost the world, no? Thatcher once said the world is willing to invest in the USA because we’ve never had socialism and we never will.
Maggie, some of us might now beg to differ with you.
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I want to scream about the US government’s moves on borrowing. I just don’t know much abut high finances but even I can see that borrowing is a poor way to get money for the federal government. We should only be spending as much as we take in as taxes.
Anyone who doesn’t hold this position lacks common sense.
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Incidently, I think it was the Kremlin that first coined the term “Star Wars” but the phrase was quickly adopted by Ted Kennedy and others. I knew something was up when the USSR spokesmen repeatedly said “It’ll never work! You’re wasting your money. Stop!!” I thought back then that if I were the Soviet Premier I’d actually be tickled pink to see an American prez waste billions of dollars on a project which would never work. I would encourage the prez to waste even more money on the SDI chimera if it really stood no chance of success. (Which the Soviets knew they could never match or surpass us with). Money wasted on SDI would be money not then available for modernizing missiles or fielding better armor units.
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I actually learned about SDI in high school, but I’ve never heard it mentioned in anything other than a textbook until now!
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Wow, Austen, that makes some of us around here feel ancient!
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From my reading, I think you may be confusing several issues here, Lee.
China’s buying the bonds is a provision of a pot of money for continued IMF assistance to economies. Japan is tossing in 100B, as is the US. That move has been forecast since at least March.
And there is a reason why some nations might want to escape from dollar-denominated debt. As the WSJ article points out, such debt becomes subject to changes in the US economy. The collapse of the housing bubble and consequent Major Recession has left such debt massively exposed (GM going from $80 share to nil). The origin of this debt lies in the failure of the previous administration to adequately fund its twin programs of tax relief and war (see David Leonhardt’s column, yesterday).
Our bubble economy also led us to pay less attention to the decline of our manufacturing base. Couple this with an undervalued energy sector which made it easier to ship around the world than make it close to home — all these help contribute to the trade imbalances that moved the trillions to Beijing.
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Maybe if the Chicomms see it in their long term financial interest to do so, they’ll sell us petrol.
Talk about Most Favored Nation indeed!!!
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Interesting, European elections vote more conservatives in…other countries are shying away from investing in the United States…
Cant imagine why that would be though..cant possibly be that we are spending ourselves into oblivion and every other country knows it.
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THORN, you get a cigar and a bullhorn! Odd that ostensibly socialist countries are imperiled when the USA begins to embrace nationalizations, currency devaluations etc
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It is also that other countries realise that Obama is a buffoon. and that with him nationalizing all of the industries that there won’t be much left of the US in the near future.
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“The origin of this debt lies in the failure of the previous administration to adequately fund its twin programs of tax relief and war”
Because they are busy spending money everywhere, and on many things that arent necessary from a federal standpoint. Less taxes, and spending on the military are good things the fed SHOULD do. The problem is, is that you cant spend more than what you bring in, which is what they have consistantly done and its becoming a growning problem that the current administration is taking full advantage of.
If over spending is the issue, then we should be cutting spending now. INstead we are spending more and more and more.
Which is why nobody wants to be like us, or invest in us currently.
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It was Lenin who said:
“The way to crush the bourgeoisie [middle class] is to grind them between the millstones of taxation and inflation.”
This is what Obama and the Marxist Democrats are in the process of doing. In order to support their economic and political agenda they have to do both, tax and inflate on a massive scale. The U.S. economy, former bastion of productive capitalism, is being destroyed. Our ability to protect our interests in the international arena is quickly crumbling.
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