Egypt’s dim future
The events of recent days in Egypt offer a sober lesson to Westerners who think the uprising that ousted President Hosni Mubarak resembles the American Revolution.
Much of the television commentary revealed complete ignorance about the history of the region and of Egypt and especially the clear and present danger of a theocratic coup by the Muslim Brotherhood. First prize for those who are clueless about what is transpiring before their blind eyes goes to James Clapper, director of National Intelligence (though the runner-up prize goes to a TV commentator who compared demonstrators in Tahrir Square to America’s Tea Party movement.)
Clapper told a congressional hearing that the Muslim Brotherhood is a “heterogeneous group, largely secular, which has eschewed violence and has decried al-Qaeda as a perversion of Islam.”
Perhaps Clapper can explain then why the Brotherhood endorsed Hitler’s goal of eradicating the Jews and conspired to assassinate the late Egyptian President Anwar Sadat and his predecessor Gamal Abdel Nasser.
According to the Anti-Defamation League, “The Muslim Brotherhood no longer openly conducts terrorist operations; it is primarily a political organization that supports terrorism and terrorist causes. Many of its members, however, have engaged in terrorist activities and the group has spawned numerous terrorist groups, such as Hamas and Egyptian Islamic Jihad.”
The Muslim Brotherhood is not just one of “a variety of movements” within Egypt, as Clapper asserted, but a powerful and influential religious-political force any “democratic” movement must reckon with. According to a 2009 study by WorldPublicOpinion.org, 64 percent of Egyptians view the Muslim Brotherhood positively, while only 16 percent have negative views. Sixty-nine percent think the Brotherhood favors democracy. Just 22 percent say they are too extreme and not really democratic.
Doug Schoen has advised four Israeli prime ministers, as well as the prime minister of Turkey. In a commentary for Foxnews.com, Schoen writes he believes there is “at least a 50 percent chance, if not more, that a candidate from the Muslim Brotherhood or a party with a generally similar approach and orientation will win the next presidential election.”
Why? Consider a Pew poll conducted last year that showed 48 percent of Egyptians say that Islam plays a large role in politics in Egypt and 85 percent say Islam’s influence in politics is positive. Only 2 percent said it is negative. “Not surprisingly,” writes Schoen, that a Zogby poll found two-thirds of Egyptians think “Egyptian life would improve when clerics play a more central role in the political life of the country.”
The fanatics know how to “play” the West, using images and words such as “freedom” and “liberation” to make us think they mean what we mean by those words.
Thanks to pathetic reporting by The New York Times and other media sycophants more than 50 years ago, Fidel Castro, following the dictatorship of Fulgencio Batista, was also seen by many as a liberator of Cuba. “I am not a communist and neither is the revolutionary movement,” Castro said at the time. Only after he consolidated power did he tell the truth: “I am a Marxist-Leninist and I will be one until the last day of my life.”
Deception is not limited to communists like Castro. Deception is also a strategy of others who would dominate the world by religious-political doctrines. Last Saturday, Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood announced it will not try to win the presidency of Egypt, nor will it attempt to win a majority in parliament. Given the Brotherhood’s statement of purpose and past record, this announcement should be seen as a tactical maneuver designed to fool Western governments, rather than a change in objectives.
I’m betting on the Muslim Brotherhood, or an affiliated organization with similar goals, to eventually gain political power in Egypt.
© 2011 Tribune Media Services Inc.

















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back to top16 Comments to “Egypt’s dim future”
We’re being played as “useful idiots”.
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The Sunni aren’t as overtly political as their brethren in the Shiite ranks. Hence, there is no Egyptian Khomeini Jr waiting to seize power, impose Sharia and require Burqas for loddy doddy everybody. There are probably a few mullahs who would leap at the chance to be Cairo’s Muqtada Al-sadr, but the Tahrir square kids wouldnt stand for it.
That having been said, no one should be such a doofus to equate the MB as the muslim equivalent of the Elks Lodge or Freemasons. But let’s not expect the MB to emerge as any type of tail wagging the dog “state within the state” in the manner the Hezbos are the all-but-in-name big bosses of Lebanon.
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SAWGUNNER, there is no comfort to be taken in your ‘Khomeini Jr’ point. There very well may be an ‘Arafat Jr’ waiting in Egypt and that is even worse. With Khomeini, what you saw (morally6 ugly as it was) was basically what you got. With Arafat, we got incredible deception and pretense as well as more bloodshed for the innoecnt. Arafat was the gradnfather of modern terrorism and did more to hurt the Palestinians and shed innocent blood than any one or any force in recent history.
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Which nation in the world is best equipped to help guide Egypt toward greater liberty and freeer insititutions?
Which nation is in the world is hated most by Egyptians of all classes?
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It’s ironic that Thomas quotes from the ADL considering the ADL now classifies the Family Research Council as a hate group.
Is the ADL’s judgment trustworthy or not? If not, then why should we give credence to its characterization of the Muslim Brotherhood? If so, then Christians should repudiate the FRC.
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Let the fear mongering begin.
The protests were not started by the MB. Through social media, the protest began with young secular people — including Copts. The Muslim Brotherhood appeared in the square by the 3rd or 4th day and then kept to themselves as they were clearly different than the other protesters. However, most protesters agreed that the MB provided invaluable organization assistance especially when the so-called Mubarak supporters attacked.
Now if the military follows through with its intent to democratize Egypt, the MB will surely run. However, the MB will need to bring some internal coherence to their movement — some members favour the pluralistic democratic approach of Turkey’s Justice and Development Party and others lean towards a more Hamas like rule. If the Egyptian military assumes a similar role as the Turkish military I would think Cal Thomas’ fear mongering is all for naught.
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Lousy logic, Buddy Glass.
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I could not let the Castro analogy go without comment. The US response to Castro is a classic example of how fear makes things worse. Castro and Cuba were quite willing to work with the US as long as the Batista regime and its corrupt cronies had no role in the future of Cuba. The US was either too concerned about anti-Communism or some of Batista’s friends (or both) to make any effort to work with Castro. This began a series of events which has kept the two apart.
Looking at China, we see an entirely different policy — despite the supposed Communist nature of the regime. Here we are told engagement, diplomacy and trade work better. Perhaps. But I would think it would have been applicable to Cuba. Lets hope the US, the EU, and the others pursue a policy of engagement and not isolationism to Egypt. If they take Thomas’ advice they will repeat the errors of Cuba (and Gaza). Personally I think engagement has a better chance of success in Egypt than China.
I must admit the Cuban embargo has some benefits — I get to enjoy a cheap holiday in the Carribean and never be mistaken for an American.
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Wake up and smell the coffee. The military has suspended the parliament and has continued to enforce the same security measures that Mubarak did. These people are NOT going to end up with a democracy or a republic like the US or Canada. And now the MB is forming a political party. Instead of being naive and stupidly politically correct, just realize what’s coming — and how our own government has helped it along. Nothing good is going to happen.
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NJL — your scenario could easily occur and I can think many elements in the west who would find military rule perfectly acceptable.
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HRW,
Your reference to alleged “fear mongering” seems like a way to try to stifle or stigmatize legitimate expressions of concern. I see no real “fear-mongering” from Cal Thomas. I see educated expressions of concern over a situation that remains quite unpredictable in one of the most important Arab Middle Eastern nations in the world. It would be foolish to sugar-coat this or ridicule the points made by Thomas as “fear-mongering.”
The influence of the MB is significant and it would be very foolish to overlook or deny that. I do not think many of us are qualified to say definitively that the MB had nothing to do with helping to start this or sustain it. They may also be gearing up in various ways to exploit it. They use social media too. And HRW, the protest mostly began with young Islamic people, not simply as you say with “secular” people.
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Castro’s double-tongued talk is a matter of record. And he has always had more than his share of useful sychophants on the left.
After a 2009 visit by several Congressional Black Caucus members to Cuba to see Raul and Fidel Castro, US Representative Laura Richardson, D-Calif. said of Castro, “He looked right into my eyes,” she gushed, “and he said, ‘How can we help you? How can we help President Obama?’”
After the same visit, Rep. Bobby Rush, D-Ill, said, “This is the dawning of a new day!” Bobby Rush added, “In my household I told Castro he is known as the ultimate survivor.”
Regarding this quote, Mona Charen, in an April 13, 2009 article, quipped; “Funny how easy it is to survive when you don’t hold elections” and when your opponents often wind up in prison or dead. Cubans who dare to oppose the regime have long paid a terrible price. Happy talk from the left about Castro and Cuba notwithstanding!!!!
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calling the young people in Egypt Islamic young people is as accurate as calling the young people in the US Christian young people. In fact, given 10% of Egypt is non-Muslim I would think the former is more inaccurate.
Thomas is fear-mongering because he only gives the pessimistic scenarios.
There’s no doubt Cuba prosecutes political prisoners but then again so do a lot of regimes yet there is only one US boycott. For a dictator, Castro enjoys a fair amount of support among the people and due to the US boycott and other measures he has succeeded in deflecting blame for the regime’s short comings on the US. However, my original point is not challenged — in retrospect, engagement in Cuba would have been a better policy and this is a lesson we should take as we look to changes in the Middle East.
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The muslim brotherhood folks may have a quest.
Lots of people do.
But it’s always best to be on the winning side..
“And it shall come to pass, [that] every one that is left of all the nations which came against Jerusalem shall even go up from year to year to worship the King, the LORD of hosts, and to keep the feast of tabernacles. And it shall be, [that] whoso will not come up of [all] the families of the earth unto Jerusalem to worship the King, the LORD of hosts, even upon them shall be no rain. And if the family of Egypt go not up, and come not, that [have] no [rain]; there shall be the plague, wherewith the LORD will smite the heathen that come not up to keep the feast of tabernacles. This shall be the punishment of Egypt, and the punishment of all nations that come not up to keep the feast of tabernacles. In that day shall there be upon the bells of the horses, HOLINESS UNTO THE LORD; and the pots in the LORD’S house shall be like the bowls before the altar.” (Zec 14:16-20)
Receive Christ.
Join the immortals.
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Castro said at the time. Only after he consolidated power did he tell the truth: “I am a Marxist-Leninist and I will be one until the last day of my life.”
——-
That’s like saying, “I am a chemical-onlyite….”
Why fight so hard for the predominance of sodium and chloride?
That’s no way to live.
“All things were made by him; and without him was not any thing made that was made. In him was life; and the life was the light of men. And the light shineth in darkness; and the darkness comprehended it not.” (Joh 1:3-5)
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Some perspective from two (anonymous) evangelical Egyptian leaders:
http://www.whitehorseinn.org/blog/2011/02/14/prayer-request-for-egypt/
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